21 Sept · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1573
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sindler
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1503
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matus🌟Matus covers set handicap as underdog 64% (50)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H30-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-27)