21 Sept · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1573
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sindler
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1530
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strelec🌟Strelec covers set handicap as underdog 70% (44)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H18-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.