20 Sept · 23:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1517
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1543
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (126)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 28% · 3.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H15-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.