21 Sept · 07:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1506
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Radlo
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1526
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Radlo
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H49-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.