21 Sept · 08:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1512
FormWLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1680
FormLWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+168
H2H68-42
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-42)