21 Sept · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1515
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wloszek
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1510
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Wloszek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H86-86
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.