21 Sept · 12:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1516
FormLWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1676
FormLWWLW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+160
H2H106-79
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (106-79)