21 Sept · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1564
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stapor
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1516
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H76-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.