21 Sept · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1583
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skulina
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1550
FormLWLWL
53%
47%
🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 74% (43)
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.