21 Sept · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1614
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ruzicka
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1515
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
🌟Neterda covers set handicap as underdog 66% (47)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)