21 Sept · 17:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1550
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Krupnik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1577
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 74% (43)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.