21 Sept · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1614
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ruzicka
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1498
FormLWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)