21 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1583
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1610
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skulina🌟Skulina covers set handicap as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.45· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.