21 Sept · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1481
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skvor
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1431
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.