21 Sept · 14:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1679
FormWLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Lysakowski
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1502
FormLLLWW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+177
H2H57-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-48)