21 Sept · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1521
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1539
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.