21 Sept · 19:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Mateusz Michta
ELO 1493
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kos
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1523
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H6-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.