21 Sept · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1523
FormWLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1529
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H18-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.