21 Sept · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1359
FormLLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Michta
MM
🇨🇿Mateusz Michta
ELO 1493
FormLLLWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Michta
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+134
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)