21 Sept · 23:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Caban
ELO 1531
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Caban
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1507
FormLLWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Caban
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 43% · 2.34· vig 12%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.