21 Sept · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇨🇿Mateusz Michta
ELO 1505
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Patryk
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1537
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.