22 Sept · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1615
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Krenek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1527
FormWLWWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Benes🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (109)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H75-71
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (75-71)