22 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1434
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sevecek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Sevecek
ELO 1539
FormLLWLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Snr🌟Sevecek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (46)
Fair odds · Sevecek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)