22 Sept · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1584
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stapor
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1499
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 13%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H32-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-30)