22 Sept · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1584
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1672
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 12%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H142-155
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)