22 Sept · 10:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1494
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1629
FormWLWLW
39%
61%
🌟Stepien goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H43-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-35)