22 Sept · 11:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1516
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Budik
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1492
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 79% (61)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H11-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.