22 Sept · 16:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1535
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sebl
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1597
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H24-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-17)