22 Sept · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jiri Vanous
ELO 1394
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vanous
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1360
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jokiel🌟Vanous rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (36)
Fair odds · Vanous
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.