22 Sept · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1725
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vanek
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1638
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Brozek
Fair odds · Vanek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H9-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)