22 Sept · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krcil
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1423
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H21-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-8)