22 Sept · 21:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1549
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Travnicek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1571
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Travnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (62)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H7-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.