22 Sept · 21:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1644
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stusek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1643
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Vorisek stays under total as underdog 62% (128)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H162-193
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.