22 Sept · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1514
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vosyka
MJ
🇨🇿Matyas Jinek
ELO 1415
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vosyka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)