22 Sept · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1605
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Koutnik
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1535
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)