22 Sept · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1446
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krcil
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H9-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.