22 Sept · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1419
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zelezny
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1535
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
Fair odds · Zelezny
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H19-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-8)