22 Sept · 17:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1729
FormWWWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Moravec
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1557
FormLLLLL
64%
36%
🌟Skulina covers set handicap as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+172
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)