22 Sept · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1395
FormLWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krcil
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)