22 Sept · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1668
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vanek
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vanek
ELO 1725
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Vanek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)