22 Sept · 17:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1605
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Koutnik
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1597
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H20-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.