22 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TO
🇨🇿Tomas Ogrocki
ELO 1438
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1496
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 31% · 3.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)