22 Sept · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1557
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pribyl
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1595
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Skulina covers set handicap as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.