22 Sept · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1502
FormLWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1685
FormWWWLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~80 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+183
H2H58-48
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+183)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-48)