22 Sept · 21:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Matyas Jinek
ELO 1415
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kabelka
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kabelka
ELO 1486
FormLLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Kabelka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Kabelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)