Michal Lysakowski vs Bartlomiej Molka

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22 Sep · 13:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1694

3-1Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka

ELO 1520

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 63%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Bartlomiej Molka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.37

Favourite won

Set handicap

Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Michal Lysakowski −6.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.35

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Molka.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 61% → final 26%

Bartlomiej Molka ▼

Biggest swing 82 ptsMolka recovered from 4%72 points · 5 games