Michal Szostak vs Denys Kovtanyuk — TT Cup

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22 Sep · 16:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Michal Szostak

ELO 1479

3-2Final setsSzostak won

🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk

ELO 1343

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostak at 58%. The actual result was Michal Szostak 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Michal Szostak — profile →Denys Kovtanyuk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Denys Kovtanyuk favoured — closing 1.75

Upset

Set handicap

Denys Kovtanyuk −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Denys Kovtanyuk −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

5.1

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Szostak is favoured to win, below means Denys Kovtanyuk.

▲ Michal Szostakpre 62% → final 79%

Denys Kovtanyuk ▼

Biggest swing 69 ptsSzostak recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games