22 Sept · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Szostak
ELO 1481
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kos
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1527
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~82 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H8-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.