22 Sept · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1425
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Komorowicz
PK
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1393
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Komorowicz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 12%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H16-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.