23 Sept · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1573
FormWWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sindler
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1466
FormLWWLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (124)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)